Home' Trinidad and Tobago Guardian : January 9th 2015 Contents A51
Saturday, January 9, 2016 www.guardian.co.tt Guardian
Zeehan, one of two Clive Cox-trained
decs for the Maiden Stakes over a mile
of Lingfield polytrack today, is the mount
of Adam Kirby; that sways our choice.
This once-raced Aussie Rules filly
shaped well when fifth (of eleven!) to
Godolpin-owned Outback Blue on Wolver-
hampton Tapeta three weeks ago, over-
coming a tardy start to obtain a creditable
None of seven rivals has any chance on
the time-handicap but we expect David
Simcock to eeke out a deal of improvement
from Singyoursong, also having a second
start; this Aqlaam filly has scope for
On a likely price to chance basis Zeehan
is our selection because one of three places
is guaranteed and our play will be an each-
way double into Rococoa in another eight-
runner Maiden Stakes over six furlongs.
Rococoa debuted in a seven furlongs
race and was beaten only half a length by
Foxinthehouse on this course twenty days
Both selections are advantaged 5lbs fil-
lies allowances and we re entering a period
when they really start to fire; be interesting
to see if that s the case this season given
the unpredictable weather which has been
so uncharacteristically warm.
To be exact, even though it s a gener-
alisation, February 20th is about the time
watch our for improving fillies
Incidentally can t believe there wont be
any non-runners in the aforementioned
events and so monitor the races until just
before you lodge an EWD!
My modus operandi is all about being
serious with day-to-day betting, bookies
are my enemy!
Jumping is my main interest at this time
of year; the vexation of bad ground and
inaccurate race-times is disappointing but
recently I ve been clocking with own
stop-watch and reckon Last Supper looks
a tasty proposition in the aged Handicap
Hurdle over two miles.
Back to basics, eh?
Ben Linfoot seeks out the best value
bets in the Coral Welsh Grand National
and the William Hill Lanzarote Hurdle
Everything that could be done, bar run-
ning the race out of Wales, has been done
in a bid to get the Coral Welsh Grand
National on and fingers are firmly crossed
that the Chepstow marathon gets the go
These slogs in the mud aren t for every-
one, but there are some real specialists in
the art of grinding-through-testing-con-
ditions in the Welsh National field, includ-
ing a couple of previous winners in Moun-
tainous and Emperor s Choice.
They have obvious chances once again,
as does Cogry, who could be well hand-
icapped now he gets the chance to show
what he can do over a trip in heavy ground.
That trio have been well found in the
market though, as has Upswing, who could
be the main beneficiary from the way the
race could pan out with no shortage of
prominent racers in the line-up.
Jonjo O Neill s horse is in good form
and he s a strong-travelling hold-up per-
former, something that could be a major
asset given Shotgun Paddy, Masters Hill,
Benvolio, Emperor s Choice, Red Devil
Lads, Saroque, Tour Des Champs, Fouro-
fakind and Chase The Spud could all be
pushing the pace.
However, the one that sticks out at the
prices for me is Rebecca Curtis Bob Ford
at 16/1. He could suffer if there is a real
pace burn-up as he too likes to race promi-
nently, while he has a patchy profile as
well with no less than six pulled ups on
his career record.
They might ve been a concern at a
shorter price, but at 16/1 they re factored
in as he absolutely bolted up in heavy
ground at Ffos Las on his latest start, a
performance which sees him officially 7lb
He s a different horse when the mud is
flying and he highlighted his credentials
for this race when winning the West Wales
National by a distance over three-and-a-
half miles at Ffos Las in desperate con-
ditions almost a year ago. That was the
ultimate last-man standing performance
and judging by his latest Ffos Las win,
he s got a better chance than 16/1 of going
in again here carrying just a 4lb penalty.
Sean Bowen won on him last time and
rides him again on Saturday, despite pre-
sumably having the option to ride stable-
mate Red Devil Lads.
With two wins at Chepstow already
under his belt as well, Bob Ford looks a
decent bet at the prices.
At slightly bigger odds it could be worth
taking a chance on Return Spring too.
Philip Hobbs has had an outstanding
season and he s operating at a 40 per cent
win strike-rate in January, so just about
anything he runs has to be considered at
Return Spring admittedly isn t an obvi-
ous one for knuckling down in a tough
race like the Welsh National, but he could
be very well handicapped and I liked how
he shaped on his reappearance at Chel-
tenham last time.
James Tate could not be happier with
Lamar as she takes on the boys in the Lad-
brokes Conditions Stakes at Lingfield
The Newmarket handler feels the five-
year-old was slightly unlucky to have her
winning run ended last time out when she
was a fast-finishing third behind Sir Mark
Prescott s Don t Be.
That defeat came over a mile and a quar-
ter, but Lamar had previously demonstrated
her versatility by winning over seven fur-
"I thought she was unlucky last time and
that she should be coming here on the back
of a hat-trick," said Tate.
"Given her draw, she just ended up a bit
further back than is ideal, she likes to race
prominently, and consequently she was
given a little too much to do.
"She s capable of winning over seven fur-
longs and 10, but I think a mile around
Lingfield is her optimum.
"She s in very good form and while I have
every respect for the opposition, the likes
of Captain Cat and Complicit, they are
going to have to be right at the top of their
game to beat her.
"We ve certainly got the fitness edge,
anyway, and she s absolutely flying.
"Her owner (Saif Ali) and his racing man-
ager (Bruce Raymond) keep threatening to
retire her because she is meant to be getting
covered this winter. I keep on finding another
opportunity for her and we will take it race
Paying first past the post, best odds guar-
anteed & daily Price Boosts
The last two winners of the £150,000
Ladbrokes Mile on All-Weather Champi-
onships Finals Day feature in a five-strong
Roger Charlton s Captain Cat is now a
seven-year-old and begins his new campaign
He struggled in Group races last summer
but showed some sparkle on his final run
of 2015 when not beaten far by Tryster back
Marco Botti s Grey Mirage won the Mile
in 2015, but he arrives with something to
prove, having disappointed on his last two
"On the face of it, his last two runs have
been disappointing, but he did return from
Chelmsford with a sore foot so he had an
excuse for that one," said Botti.
"He has a bit of a fitness edge over some
and always runs his best race at Lingfield.
It s a small field so it will be tactical and
Lamar and Captain Cat will be tough to
"If he returns to his form from Finals
Day, he ll go close."
Paul Cole s Complicit is a regular visitor
to France but showed he is a force to be
reckoned with on the all-weather when
runner-up to Tryster in last year s Easter
Capo Rosso is without a win since Octo-
ber 2014 but ran several good races last
summer for Tom Dascombe.
Lingfield, 12.45 Zeehan (ew); 3.05
Rococoa (ew); Kempton, 3.45 Last
Under: (Last Saturday)
10.30 am 17-31
4 pm 28-9
6.30 pm 3-18
PICK TWO SELECTIONS
Times played this year
10.30am 1pm 4pm 6.30pmTotal
01CENTIPEDE 0 0 0 0 0
02 OLD LADY
05PARSONMAN 0 1 1 0 2
15SICKWOMAN0 0 1 0
18WATERBOAT0 1 0 0
10.30am 1pm 4pm 6.30pmTotal
27 LITTLESNAKE 0 0 1 0
28 RED FISH
29OPIUMMAN 0 0 0 1
30HOUSECAT 2 0 0 1
31PARSONWIFE0 00 0 0
34BLINDMAN 1 0 0 0
LAST DRAW: FRIDAY
WHEN DE MARK BUSS Play Whe results to Friday, January 8
6.30 pm 8
17 (Pigeon) 6.30 pm
6 6.30 pm
33 (Spider) 4 pm
30 (House Cat) 10.30 am
18 (Water Boat) 1 pm
TODAY'S STAR BETS
4 (Dead Man)
Kirby looking to ride
Zeehan to the tape
Value Bet: Spring a surprise
1pt win Bob Ford in 1.45 Chepstow at 16/1
1pt win Return Spring in 1.45 Chepstow at 20/1
1pt win Un Ace in 2.35 Kempton at 16/1
Tate Sweet On
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