Home' Trinidad and Tobago Guardian : May 26th 2013 Contents A6
Sunday Guardian www.guardian.co.tt May 26, 2013
An analysis of the results of three
polls since 2011 shows an upward
trend in support for the People s
National Movement (PNM) and a
downward trend in support for the
People s Partnership (PP).
Specifically, in April 2011, 38 per
cent of respondents said they would
vote for the People s Partnership if
a general election were held.
However, support for the PP has
decreased by seven points as of May
Conversely, 15 per cent of respon-
dents in April 2011 indicated support
for the PNM if a general election
were held. In two years, however,
this support has increased by five
likely to support PP
Analysing responses by ethnicity,
there was a 46 per cent difference
in the proportion of Afro-Trinida-
dians and Indo-Trinidadians stating
they would vote for the People s
Specifically, 55 per cent Indo-
Trinidadians, 20 per cent Mixed,
and 9 per cent Afro-Trinidadians, a
total of 89 per cent, said they would
support the People s Partnership if
a general election was held.
Corresponding differences were
found for the response "PNM," with
38 per cent Afro-Trinidadians, 21
per cent Mixed and 8 per cent Indo-
Trinidadians giving this response.
The response "none" was given by
38 per cent Mixed people, 29 per
cent Afro-Trinidadians and 23 per
cent Indo-Trinidadians. In response
to this question, 24 per cent Afro-
Trinidadians, 21 per cent Mixed and
14 per cent Indo-Trinidadians stated
they were undecided.
The ethnic breakdown of party
support showed that for the People s
Partnership, 74 per cent were Indo-
Trinidadians, 16 per cent Mixed, and
10 per cent Afro-Trinidadians. The
ethnic composition of those sup-
porting the PNM was 59 per cent
Afro-Trinidadians, 26 per cent Mixed
and 15 per cent Indo-Trinidadians.
Afro-Trinidadians not satisfied
with PP performance
The PP and PNM received ratings
which were almost on par regarding
their perfromance---67 per cent of
respondents gave the PP a rating of
fair to excellent while the 61 per cent
rated the PNM fair to excellent.
Across ethnic groups, there was
a 31 per cent difference in the pro-
portion of Afro-Trinidadians and
Indo-Trinidadians giving a rating of
"good" on the performance of the
Specifically, 42 per cent Indo-
Trinidadians, 23 per cent Mixed, and
11 per cent Afro-Trinidadians rated
A "fair" rating was given by 43
per cent Afro-Trinidadians, 41 per
cent Mixed, and 37 per cent Indo-
Afro-Trinidadians were the most
likely to rate the Government s per-
formance as "poor."
TRINIDAD GUARDIAN OPINION POLL CONDUCTED BY ANSA MCAL PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH CENTRE, UWI
PP, PNM running
neck and neck
If election is called...
These results are from a
nationwide survey on current
issues by the ANSA McAL
Centre, University of the
West Indies, St Augustine,
for the T&T Guardian. The
main intention of this survey
is to assess popular opinion
on a number of major issues.
A representative random
sample of 503 respondents
was interviewed and
comprised people 18 years
and over with 34 per cent
Afro-Trinidadians, 40 per
cent Indo-Trinidadians, 25 per
cent mixed and 1 per cent
other ethnic groups.
The sample consisted of 51
per cent females.
Respondents were selected
using the Random Digit
Dialling Method. The margin
of error is plus or minus 4 per
This poll was conducted
during the period May 10-12
and was supervised by Dr
Derek Chadee, director,
ANSA McAL Psychological
Research Centre and senior
lecturer, Department of
University of the West
Indies, St Augustine.
If a general election were held
today, which political party would
you vote for?
9 per cent
3 per cent
1 per cent
19 per cent
1 per cent
20 per cent
29 per cent
Don't know 20 per cent
UNC---They are the only party that
could take the country forward.
PNM---Keith Rowley will be more
able to handle this country.
COP---If they leave the People's
Partnership they might have a
chance to win the elections.
People's Partnership---They are
doing a much better job than the
If a general election were held today, which political party would you vote for?
If a general election were held today, which political party would you vote
for? (by ethnicity)
• Continues on Page A7
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